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591 

FNUS54 KMRX 271548 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER 

VALLEY THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 

THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL THEN SETTLE 

OVER THE REGION THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281700-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   48-53 (+6)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+20)  86-91 (+8)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  8 G17    S  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.40         0.44         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 26         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281700-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   47-52 (+6)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+25)  86-91 (+5)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE 10 G21    S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.37         0.50         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 28         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281700-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   47-52 (+4)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+34)  86-91 (+1)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     S 11 G27     S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.40         0.59         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 25        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281700-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-8)   50-55 (+4)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+37)  89-94 (+3)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G17                 SE  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G20    SE 11 G25    S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.55         0.86         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 23         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281700-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-8)   48-53 (+3)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+33)  90-95 (+4)   61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 SE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    SE  9 G20    S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.48         0.91         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 21         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   49-54 (+6)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+25)  86-91 (+2)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8 G17    S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.33         0.50         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 24         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-7)   51-56 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+38)  89-94 (+4)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE  6 G15    S  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.51         0.63         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 24         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281700-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1148 AM EDT SAT APR 27 2013 /1048 AM CDT SAT APR 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   52-57 (+4)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+38)  87-92 (-1)   64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G16                  S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    SE  8 G16    S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       6            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.73         1.23         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2200                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 23         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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