

436 

FNUS54 KMRX 241317 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE 

WILL THEN BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... 

BRINGING COOLER AND DRY CONDITIONS. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 

NORTHWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND 

SATURDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251430-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   35-40 (-12)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   89-94 (+4)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G28     NW  5 G15    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     W 10         

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251430-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    35-40 (-9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   91-96 (0)    30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G22                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW  8 G18    NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-251430-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   36-41 (-9)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+2)   91-96 (+4)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 15 G30                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G30     N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-251430-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   37-42 (-11)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   90-95 (+6)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G28                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G26     N  6         N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-251430-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   37-42 (-10)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   91-96 (+5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G24    N  7         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-1)   36-41 (-10)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   90-95 (+1)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G25                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W  9         

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-3)   37-42 (-13)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+8)   90-95 (+5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G26     LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251430-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

917 AM EDT WED APR 24 2013 /817 AM CDT WED APR 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   37-42 (-14)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  90-95 (+6)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G24    N  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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