

365 

FNUS54 KMRX 231827

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL 

APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT...SPREADING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON WEDNESDAY. DRY AND COOL 

CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  64-69 (-4)   36-41        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   40-45 (+8)   84-89        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G23     NW  5        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   63-68 (-4)   36-41        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  38-43 (+7)   91-96        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 11 G21     NW  6        NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   63-68 (-4)   36-41        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   42-47 (+10)  89-94        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G23                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 11 G23     N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.26         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   66-71 (-4)   40-45        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+9)   44-49 (+10)  90-95        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G21                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  9 G21     N  5         N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+11)  67-72 (-3)   40-45        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    42-47 (+9)   91-96        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G20                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  9 G20     N  5         NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  64-69 (-6)   36-41        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   42-47 (+10)  91-96        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G22     LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 14         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   64-69 (-6)   38-43        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   46-51 (+12)  86-91        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.30         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

227 PM EDT TUE APR 23 2013 /127 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   64-69 (-7)   39-44        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+14)  46-51 (+12)  83-88        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G20                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    8            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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