

632 

FNUS54 KMRX 221843

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MUCH OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL 

DELIVER TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT 

WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...SPREADING SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON WEDNESDAY. 

DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   68-73 (+6)   48-53        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   29-34 (0)    81-86        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.25         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   67-72 (+7)   44-49        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   28-33 (-1)   81-86        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   67-72 (+6)   45-50        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   28-33 (-2)   83-88        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   70-75 (+4)   48-53        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-9)   30-35 (+2)   88-93        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   70-75 (+4)   47-52        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   29-34 (+1)   88-93        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   70-75 (+5)   47-52        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   28-33 (-1)   82-87        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   70-75 (+3)   51-56        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   31-36 (+3)   80-85        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 17         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

243 PM EDT MON APR 22 2013 /143 PM CDT MON APR 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   71-76 (+4)   52-57        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-8)   31-36 (+1)   84-89        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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