

693 

FNUS54 KMRX 211829

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MUCH OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL 

DELIVER COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A BIT EACH 

DAY...EVENTUALLY REBOUNDING TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE 

WORK WEEK. PRECIPITATION RETURNS TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   61-66 (+1)   37-42        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+19)  28-33 (-2)   83-88        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   59-64 (0)    35-40        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+9)   28-33 (+1)   85-90        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-221930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   60-65 (-1)   37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    27-32 (+4)   80-85        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-221930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+9)   65-70 (0)    40-45        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   25-30 (+3)   81-86        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-221930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   65-70 (0)    38-43        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   25-30 (+3)   89-94        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   64-69 (+1)   37-42        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+10)  28-33 (+1)   87-92        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   66-71 (+2)   41-46        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+10)  27-32 (+2)   80-85        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

229 PM EDT SUN APR 21 2013 /129 PM CDT SUN APR 21 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   66-71 (0)    43-48        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+8)   27-32 (+2)   79-84        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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