

242 

FNUS54 KMRX 210720

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MUCH OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL 

DELIVER COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A BIT EACH 

DAY...EVENTUALLY REBOUNDING TO SEASONAL NORMALS BY THE MIDDLE OF THE 

WORK WEEK. PRECIPITATION RETURNS TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT AS A 

COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   36-41 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   76-81 (+4)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     E  9         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   34-39 (+5)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   76-81 (+3)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  9 G18    NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     E  9         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+10)  35-40 (+7)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-4)   82-87 (+3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G20    NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     NE  9        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+7)   38-43 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   81-86 (-7)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G15    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     E  7         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   38-43 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-2)   80-85 (-7)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  6        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     E  7         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   36-41 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    81-86 (+2)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     E  9         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   38-43 (+5)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   80-85 (+3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      E  9         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

320 AM EDT SUN APR 21 2013 /220 AM CDT SUN APR 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   40-45 (+7)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+3)   81-86 (-1)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 10        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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