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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE 

WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE 

WEEKEND.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-15)  33-38 (-25)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+13)  78-83 (-1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G28                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     W 11 G20     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-12)  32-37 (-25)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+11)  82-87 (+5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G32                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W 14 G27     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-201545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  30-35 (-28)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   78-83 (+4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G32                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 12 G24     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-201545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-14)  32-37 (-27)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   78-83 (+1)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G31                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         W  9 G19     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N 16         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-201545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  32-37 (-27)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   77-82 (-2)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G26                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  9 G20     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N 17         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   70 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-16)  34-39 (-24)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+14)  81-86 (+5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W 11 G21     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 60.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-20)  33-38 (-26)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   76-81 (-1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G26                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  8 G15     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1038 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2013 /938 AM CDT FRI APR 19 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-20)  34-39 (-24)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+10)  76-81 (-3)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G26                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  9 G17    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 15         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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