

738 

FNUS54 KMRX 181419 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER TODAY...THEN A COLD FRONT 

WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND 

FRIDAY...BRINGING A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE 

AREA. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE STRONG MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM AND HIGHER PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... 

WILL GENERATE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+13)  55-60 (+1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-38)  88-93 (-7)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G29     S 13 G27     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.48         

LAL                   1            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 31        

DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+12)  54-59 (+2)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-34)  91-96 (-5)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G33     S 18 G33     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.61         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 33        

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-191530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+9)   57-62 (+3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-22)  86-91 (-6)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G24                  SW 14 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G33     S 17 G34     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.75         

LAL                   1            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 32        

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-191530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   58-63 (+3)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-23)  87-92 (-6)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G24                  SW 12 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G29     S 16 G31     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.71         

LAL                   1            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      SW 22        

DISPERSION            111 VERY GOOD             42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-191530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+10)  59-64 (+4)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-23)  84-89 (-9)   62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 SW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G29     S 17 G29     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.80         

LAL                   1            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            109 VERY GOOD             58 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+13)  56-61 (+3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-35)  90-95 (-5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  SW 11 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     S  9 G19     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.55         

LAL                   1            4            5            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+10)  58-63 (+2)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-28)  82-87 (-12)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G23                  SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     S 12 G28     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.46         

LAL                   1            5            5            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 23        

DISPERSION            127 VERY GOOD             61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1019 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013 /919 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+7)   58-63 (0)    58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-24)  82-87 (-8)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G24                  SW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G28     S 14 G28     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           100          

PRECIP DURATION                    3            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   4 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.28         0.35         

LAL                   1            5            5            

LASI                  4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W 20         

DISPERSION            132 VERY GOOD             56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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