

558 

FNUS54 KMRX 171909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER ON THURSDAY...THEN A COLD 

FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   77-82 (+13)  55-60        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  38-43 (-39)  84-89        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G17                  SW 14 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     S 10 G21     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.48         

LAL                   1            1            4            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      SW 28        

DISPERSION                         113 VERY GOOD             89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   74-79 (+12)  53-58        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  38-43 (-38)  89-94        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  SW 15 G30    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     S 13 G28     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.64         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   73-78 (+9)   54-59        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   39-44 (-24)  94-99        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  SW 14 G38    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24    S 14 G31     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 PM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         0.77         

LAL                   3            1            4            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      SW 23        

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   77-82 (+8)   54-59        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+8)   36-41 (-27)  95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  W 11 G30     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G22    S 13 G27     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 PM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         0.73         

LAL                   3            1            4            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    78-83 (+10)  54-59        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   35-40 (-29)  95-100       62-67        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    SE 10 G20    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            60           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 PM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.04         0.82         

LAL                   3            1            4            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   79-84 (+13)  55-60        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  36-41 (-36)  88-93        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  SW 13 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     S  9 G21     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.57         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   78-83 (+10)  56-61        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+5)   35-40 (-29)  86-91        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  W 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S 10 G23     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.48         

LAL                   3            1            5            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         130 VERY GOOD             92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EDT WED APR 17 2013 /209 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   79-84 (+7)   55-60        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+4)   35-40 (-25)  92-97        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     S 12 G25     W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 PM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.19         0.40         

LAL                   3            1            5            5            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         127 VERY GOOD             85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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