

978 

FNUS54 KMRX 171342

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TODAY. THERE WILL BE A LITTLE BIT BETTER 

CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 

NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...CLOSER TO A STATIONARY FRONT PARKED OVER THE 

REGION. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181445-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    54-59 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   93-98 (+2)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      S 26         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   105 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181445-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   52-57 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   92-97 (+3)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 29         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181445-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   53-58 (-2)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   93-98 (+11)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     S 29         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               91 GOOD      



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181445-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   55-60 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   92-97 (+9)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 31         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               119 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181445-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    54-59 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    91-96 (+6)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 30         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   123 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    54-59 (-3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   93-98 (+8)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 24         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   106 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   57-62 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   87-92 (-1)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 29         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   127 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181445-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

942 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013 /842 AM CDT WED APR 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   58-63 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-5)   87-92 (-1)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 31         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               137 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WINDS.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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