

821 

FNUS54 KMRX 161902

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WARM TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS HIGH 

PRESSURE SITS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE 

INTO THE 80S THROUGH THURSDAY. SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A BETTER 

CHANCE OF STORMS WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   76-81 (+2)   56-61        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   44-49 (-1)   89-94        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 14 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 23         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   74-79 (+3)   53-58        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+5)   44-49 (-4)   89-94        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         S 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.10         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            2            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      8300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S 21         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-172015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   74-79 (+3)   54-59        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   46-51 (-5)   86-91        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6 G17     S 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.09         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            2            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-172015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+6)   77-82 (+2)   56-61        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   45-50 (-4)   88-93        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6 G15    S 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            2            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 28         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   128 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO

15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-172015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   76-81 (+1)   55-60        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  46-51 (-3)   87-92        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  5        SE 14 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            2            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      8500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SE 25        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   134 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   77-82 (+1)   55-60        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   45-50 (-1)   89-94        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 21         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   98 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   78-83 (+2)   58-63        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   47-52 (0)    84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S 24         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               109 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 PM EDT TUE APR 16 2013 /202 PM CDT TUE APR 16 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   79-84 (+3)   59-64        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   47-52 (-4)   86-91        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  6         S 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            3            2            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 31         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               134 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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