

892 

FNUS54 KMRX 160745

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WARM TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 80S THROUGH THURSDAY. SCATTERED

AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND

WEDNESDAY...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF STORMS WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT

ON FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+6)   54-59 (+5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   92-97 (+5)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  6         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   52-57 (+4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   88-93 (+3)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   54-59 (+5)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-9)   82-87 (-8)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.11         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   55-60 (+5)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   85-90 (-5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.11         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   53-58 (+5)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   89-94 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.12         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+7)   54-59 (+5)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   88-93 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W  7         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   57-62 (+3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-4)   86-91 (-2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.11         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

345 AM EDT TUE APR 16 2013 /245 AM CDT TUE APR 16 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   58-63 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   86-91 (+2)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.11         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     S 12         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













