

272 

FNUS54 KMRX 160201 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AS HIGH PRESSURE SITS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST...WARM TEMPERATURES CAN 

BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO 

THE 80S BY MID WEEK...BEFORE A COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   74-79 (+6)   55-60        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+9)   40-45 (-9)   87-92        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   72-77 (+7)   52-57        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   40-45 (-12)  85-90        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        S  7         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   72-77 (+7)   54-59        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+4)   41-46 (-13)  80-85        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     S  5         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   74-79 (+5)   55-60        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+4)   40-45 (-12)  85-90        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7         S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S  8         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   73-78 (+5)   53-58        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  42-47 (-10)  89-94        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  7        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      12 PM        

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     S  7         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   75-80 (+6)   54-59        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+8)   41-46 (-9)   86-91        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   76-81 (+5)   56-61        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   42-47 (-7)   87-92        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1001 PM EDT MON APR 15 2013 /901 PM CDT MON APR 15 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   77-82 (+6)   58-63        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   43-48 (-8)   88-93        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  7         S  6         SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 13         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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