

364 

FNUS54 KMRX 140735

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...WITH A 

WARMING TREND DEVELOPING FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. IN 

FACT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH 

THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+10)  47-52 (+12)  68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-8)   85-90 (+5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         SE  6 G15    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 15         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+8)   46-51 (+12)  66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-6)   84-89 (+4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SE  7 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S  9         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   47-52 (+12)  67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   82-87 (+4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SE  9 G22    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

25 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   49-54 (+11)  72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    83-88 (+7)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SE  8 G19    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   47-52 (+12)  72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   89-94 (+6)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G16    SE  9 G17    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   48-53 (+11)  71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-6)   83-88 (+6)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 10         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   50-55 (+10)  72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   80-85 (+6)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

335 AM EDT SUN APR 14 2013 /235 AM CDT SUN APR 14 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   51-56 (+9)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   80-85 (+10)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SE  7 G17    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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