

761 

FNUS54 KMRX 131840

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH A WARMING TREND 

DEVELOPING FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. IN FACT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 

SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT 

MOVING INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   70-75 (+9)   46-51        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   26-31 (-6)   85-90        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     SE  8 G18    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 21         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   69-74 (+9)   44-49        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   27-32 (-5)   83-88        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     SE 13 G26    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 20         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-141945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   68-73 (+8)   46-51        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-9)   28-33 (-4)   85-90        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G24     SE 15 G32    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-141945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   69-74 (+5)   49-54        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  30-35 (0)    87-92        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G22    SE 13 G27    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-141945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   69-74 (+5)   46-51        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   31-36 (0)    89-94        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G16                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G20    SE 13 G27    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   72-77 (+9)   47-52        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-12)  25-30 (-6)   82-87        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     SE  7 G16    SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 16         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   72-77 (+8)   49-54        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-11)  27-32 (-4)   82-87        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     SE  7 G18    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 PM EDT SAT APR 13 2013 /140 PM CDT SAT APR 13 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   72-77 (+6)   52-57        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-15)  30-35 (0)    83-88        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     SE  8 G20    SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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