

055 

FNUS54 KMRX 111939

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED 

THROUGH THE WEEKEND...



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH STRONG TO 

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF BY FRIDAY 

MORNING...WITH DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AS HIGH 

PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    62-67 (-15)  38-43        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   35-40 (-3)   76-81        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     W 11 G21     SW  7 G15    W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   60-65 (-14)  37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+11)  35-40 (-3)   79-84        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     W 11 G21     W  8 G20     W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.14         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 26         

DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   58-63 (-12)  35-40        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+13)  28-33 (-10)  80-85        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G36     W 10 G18     W 11 G24     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.24         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   62-67 (-11)  36-41        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   31-36 (-11)  90-95        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     W  8         W  8 G17     NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.41         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPR 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    63-68 (-9)   34-39        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   26-31 (-13)  90-95        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     W  9         W  7         NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.55         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 

50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    64-69 (-14)  38-43        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   33-38 (-5)   82-87        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     W 10 G19     SW  6        W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   63-68 (-14)  38-43        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   29-34 (-12)  79-84        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G25    W 10 G18     W  8 G16     W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.98         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 

50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

340 PM EDT THU APR 11 2013 /240 PM CDT THU APR 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   63-68 (-12)  39-44        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   28-33 (-18)  82-87        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G22    W  9 G18     W  8 G16     NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.97         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$







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