

652 

FNUS54 KMRX 110753

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO 

AFFECT THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL SPREAD 

EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE 

THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   51-56 (-1)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   93-98 (+8)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S 10 G18     SW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         1.18         0.02         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 24        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-2)   49-54 (-3)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+11)  95-100 (+20) 36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S 11 G20     W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         1.16         0.02         

LAL                   4            5            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 22         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   47-52 (-4)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+18)  95-100 (+23) 31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S 12 G27     W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         1.10         0.01         

LAL                   5            5            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      SW 24        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   49-54 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+20)  95-100 (+12) 31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G22     S 11 G22     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.10         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      W 20         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   49-54 (-1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+23)  95-100 (+10) 30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     S 11 G21     W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            8                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.13         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 22         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   51-56 (-2)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  95-100 (+12) 32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S  8 G16     W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         1.21         0.01         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 23         

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   49-54 (-7)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+15)  90-95 (+10)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     SW  8 G17    W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         1.12         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W 20         

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

353 AM EDT THU APR 11 2013 /253 AM CDT THU APR 11 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   47-52 (-9)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+19)  91-96 (+9)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     W  9 G18     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         1.19         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W 18         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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