

413 

FNUS54 KMRX 101939

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS DELIVERED WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS 

OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD...AS STRONG COLD FRONT 

APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND 

PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON 

FRIDAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   74-79 (-3)   50-55        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   36-41 (-1)   83-88        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G20     S  8 G16     W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.93         0.02         

LAL                   1            5            5            3            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   71-76 (-3)   49-54        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   37-42 (+1)   89-94        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G15     S 11 G22     S  7         W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         1.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            4            5            3            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-112015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   66-71 (-7)   48-53        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   41-46 (+9)   89-94        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G23                  W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G21     S 12 G24     S  8 G15     W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         1.10         0.01         

LAL                   1            5            5            2            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-112015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   69-74 (-8)   49-54        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    49-54 (+13)  89-94        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  W  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G19     S 12 G23     SW  8 G16    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         1.09         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 

TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-112015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    70-75 (-7)   50-55        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   47-52 (+13)  89-94        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 11 G19     S  7 G15     W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.28         1.15         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   75-80 (-3)   51-56        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   36-41 (+1)   90-95        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     S  7         W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         1.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            5            5            3            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   72-77 (-6)   49-54        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   41-46 (+5)   83-88        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 11 G21     SW  7        W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           80           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.31         1.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

340 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013 /240 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    72-77 (-7)   48-53        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   45-50 (+8)   83-88        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S 12 G21     SW  7        W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.58         1.24         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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