

084 

FNUS54 KMRX 100839

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND 

SOUTHEASTERN STATES KEEPING OUR WEATHER DRY AND WARM. HIGH 

TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 70S AND 80S AGAIN TODAY. THE NEXT CHANCE 

OF RAIN ARRIVES BY THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE AREA. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE 

EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS END 

FRIDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY MORE DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   54-59 (+4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   92-97 (0)    36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 S 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  5         S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   53-58 (+3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   86-91 (0)    38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  6         S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-4)   51-56 (0)    68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   84-89 (+3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     S 13 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  7 G18     S 13 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 36         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   52-57 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   90-95 (+2)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  7 G16     S 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.55         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 36         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               107 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   50-55 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   93-98 (+1)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  6         S 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 32         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   54-59 (+3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   89-94 (0)    37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 28        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   56-61 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   84-89 (-1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     S 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    S  5         S 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.46         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     S 37         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   125 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

439 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013 /339 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   56-61 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   89-94 (+6)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 S 12 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S  6         S 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.83         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 38         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   135 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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