

856 

FNUS54 KMRX 091900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND 

SOUTHEASTERN STATES KEEPING OUR WEATHER DRY AND WARM. HIGH 

TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 70S AND 80S AGAIN ON ON WEDNESDAY. THE 

NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVES BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND 

THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT BRINGS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO 

THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   78-83 (+3)   51-56        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 36-41 (-2)   95-100       44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 S  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 30        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   76-81 (+2)   50-55        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  38-43 (-1)   90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        SW  5        S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-102000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   74-79 (0)    52-57        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+8)   38-43 (-1)   85-90        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     S 13 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW  7        SW  7 G17    S 13 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     S 36         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-102000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   78-83 (+1)   53-58        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  40-45 (+1)   89-94        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S 11 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW  8        LGT/VAR      S 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                              3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.55         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     S 36         

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   106 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-102000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   78-83 (+3)   51-56        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 40-45 (0)    93-98        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  8         LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                              3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 32         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   80-85 (+3)   51-56        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   36-41 (-3)   95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM        

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     SW 28        

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   80-85 (+4)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   36-41 (-5)   84-89        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            90           

PRECIP DURATION                                              3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.46         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     S 37         

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   125 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT TUE APR 9 2013 /200 PM CDT TUE APR 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   80-85 (+2)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+7)   38-43 (-2)   89-94        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  9 G16     S  5         S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           100          

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.83         

LAL                   1            1            2            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     S 38         

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   135 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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