

174 

FNUS54 KMRX 061842

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH 

PRESSURE LINGERS ACROSS REGION. A WARMING TREND BRINGS TEMPERATURES 

ABOVE NORMAL FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN MOST LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO 

THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   67-72 (+4)   45-50        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   29-34 (0)    87-92        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SW 10 G18    SW  5        S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         135 VERY GOOD             46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   64-69 (+3)   44-49        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   32-37 (0)    89-94        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-071945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   62-67 (+2)   43-48        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   31-36 (+4)   88-93        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8                      S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW  7        SW  7 G15    S 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-071945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   65-70 (0)    46-51        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    36-41 (+7)   86-91        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW  8        S  7         S 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     S 21         

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-071945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   65-70 (0)    44-49        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   34-39 (+8)   87-92        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S  8         S  5         S 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   68-73 (+2)   46-51        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   31-36 (+3)   87-92        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         122 VERY GOOD             45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   68-73 (0)    48-53        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   32-37 (+6)   84-89        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G16                  S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  9 G16    SW  5        SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 22        

DISPERSION                         133 VERY GOOD             70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

242 PM EDT SAT APR 6 2013 /142 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   70-75 (0)    49-54        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   31-36 (+5)   85-90        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7                      S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  8 G17     S  6         S 13 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 23         

DISPERSION                         117 VERY GOOD             75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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