

292 

FNUS54 KMRX 040812

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TO THE 

AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A WARMING TREND BEGINS BY THE END OF THE 

WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND 

EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   35-40 (+6)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+24)  83-88 (+24)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.63         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 15                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   33-38 (+5)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+25)  89-94 (+23)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.63         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 17                     N 15         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   35-40 (+4)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+21)  88-93 (+16)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  7 G15     LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.55         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 17                     N 14         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   39-44 (+3)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+27)  85-90 (+9)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.46         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 20                     N 16         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-9)   39-44 (+3)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+28)  85-90 (+9)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  8                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.51         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     N 16         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   36-41 (+5)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+23)  86-91 (+22)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       6            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.56         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   38-43 (+4)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+23)  85-90 (+17)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           

PRECIP DURATION       6            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.46         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     N 13         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

412 AM EDT THU APR 4 2013 /312 AM CDT THU APR 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   39-44 (+1)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+29)  88-93 (+13)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      N  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      N  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.38         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 18                      N 15         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.



$$













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