

793 

FNUS54 KMRX 031902

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST 

OVERNIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST 

ON THURSDAY...BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TO THE REGION THROUGH 

EARLY FRIDAY. A WARMING TREND BEGINS BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH 

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+3)   52-57 (+1)   38-43        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-1)   37-42 (+15)  89-94        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.55         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   48-53 (-3)   37-42        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+17)  41-46 (+17)  87-92        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G23                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         SE 10 G21    E  5         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.53         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   48-53 (-5)   38-43        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+37) 50-55 (+21)  88-93        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  9 G21     NE  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.25         0.57         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   49-54 (-8)   40-45        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+28)  60-65 (+28)  91-96        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G18                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         E  8 G18     NE  5        N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.35         0.55         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   48-53 (-10)  41-46        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+23)  63-68 (+32)  93-98        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  8 G16                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         E  8 G16     E  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.34         0.53         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   53-58 (-1)   39-44        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+12)  38-43 (+14)  88-93        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        E  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.12         0.56         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   52-57 (-3)   38-43        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+22)  47-52 (+22)  91-96        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        E  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         0.62         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 PM EDT WED APR 3 2013 /202 PM CDT WED APR 3 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   50-55 (-6)   39-44        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+23)  54-59 (+25)  92-97        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  7 G17                  N  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NE  8 G17    NE  6        N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          90           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.41         0.57         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               2                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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