

900 

FNUS54 KMRX 030844

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE 

ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY...BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN 

TO THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. A WARMING TREND BEGINS BY THE END OF 

THE WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND 

AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   28-33 (+2)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-8)   63-68 (+1)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 18         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   27-32 (+2)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   70-75 (+5)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     S 20         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   30-35 (+3)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   79-84 (+11)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SE 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        LGT/VAR      E  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SE 18        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   35-40 (+4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+3)   81-86 (+5)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     E 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      E  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SE 23        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   35-40 (+3)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+8)   89-94 (+14)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      E  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     SE 23        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   30-35 (+3)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-2)   71-76 (+1)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      SE 20        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   33-38 (+5)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   71-76 (+3)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     SE 17        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

444 AM EDT WED APR 3 2013 /344 AM CDT WED APR 3 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   37-42 (+5)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   74-79 (+6)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     E  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  5        E  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.39         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     SE 22        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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