

385 

FNUS54 KMRX 021925

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION FROM 

THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...AND WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION THROUGH 

WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST 

ON THURSDAY...BRINGING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER THE REGION 

THROUGH FRIDAY. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN BY THE END OF THE WEEK... 

WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND EARLY 

NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   52-57 (+6)   29-34        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-13)  14-19 (-13)  66-71        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   50-55 (+4)   30-35        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-7)   17-22 (-11)  70-75        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      SE 13 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   51-56 (+3)   33-38        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-11)  21-26 (-3)   72-77        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SE 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     SE  5        SE 13 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      S 24         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    57-62 (+4)   36-41        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    21-26 (-2)   73-78        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G28    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  7         LGT/VAR      SE 13 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE 28        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER 

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   58-63 (+4)   35-40        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   21-26 (+1)   73-78        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE 13 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SE 28        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH... 

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH 

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   55-60 (+4)   32-37        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   17-22 (-6)   70-75        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         SE 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      SE 20        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-4)   56-61 (+4)   35-40        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   18-23 (-3)   72-77        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  5        E  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     SE 18        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

325 PM EDT TUE APR 2 2013 /225 PM CDT TUE APR 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   57-62 (+3)   37-42        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   20-25 (-4)   73-78        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G17                  SE 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NE  7        NE  6        SE  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     SE 28        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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