

573 

FNUS54 KMRX 311904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING. BEHIND THIS 

FEATURE...A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAYBRINGING  

A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL 

THROUGH MONDAY AND THEN SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY AND 

WEDNESDAY.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   52-57 (-4)   27-32        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  42-47 (-21)  76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  9 G17    NW  6        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   53-58 (-2)   27-32        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  40-45 (-24)  80-85        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW 11 G20    NW  8 G15    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   54-59 (-1)   29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  38-43 (-29)  82-87        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW 11 G21    NW  6        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   

PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-012015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   61-66 (+3)   35-40        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  36-41 (-34)  72-77        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW 10 G18    N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   

PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-012015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   61-66 (+3)   34-39        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  36-41 (-32)  76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW 10 G19    NW  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM                                   

PRECIP END            2 AM         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 15        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   56-61 (-4)   29-34        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  38-43 (-21)  76-81        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW 10 G18    NW  5        W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   58-63 (-2)   30-35        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   36-41 (-27)  72-77        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            11 PM        8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW  9        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013 /204 PM CDT SUN MAR 31 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   63-68 (+4)   33-38        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   34-39 (-33)  71-76        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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