

064 

FNUS54 KMRX 310718

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN TODAY...AND WILL EXIT THE AREA EARLY 

TONIGHT.  A TRAILING AND STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ON 

MONDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    39-44 (-1)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+11)  91-96 (-2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 18         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   40-45 (0)    55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   88-93 (-1)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  5         W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 23         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   42-47 (0)    57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   83-88 (-10)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G17                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 18         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    44-49 (-1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+14)  88-93 (-5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 14         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   44-49 (0)    62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+19)  90-95 (-2)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 14         

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   41-46 (-1)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+9)   87-92 (-2)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 18         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   43-48 (-2)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   83-88 (-8)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 16         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

318 AM EDT SUN MAR 31 2013 /218 AM CDT SUN MAR 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   44-49 (-4)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+12)  85-90 (-5)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 14         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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