

830 

FNUS54 KMRX 291853

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL EXIT THE REGION THIS EVENING...LEADING TO 

RELATIVELY DRY...AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT 

WILL APPROACH THE REGION SATURDAY EVENING...AND INCREASE THE 

POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT...AND SUNDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-302000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+10)  58-63 (+6)   44-49        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   32-37 (+1)   87-92        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM                     CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.16         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-302000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+8)   55-60 (+7)   43-48        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   38-43 (+6)   89-94        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W 12 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.17         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT

FREEZING RAIN. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-302000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+11)  54-59 (+12)  44-49        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+10)  41-46 (-4)   91-96        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.26         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-302000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+13)  60-65 (+13)  49-54        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+7)   45-50 (-2)   91-96        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.28         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-302000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+17)  59-64 (+13)  47-52        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   45-50 (-2)   95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.28         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               106 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-302000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   59-64 (+9)   45-50        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+7)   35-40 (-1)   90-95        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            4 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.20         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 32         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-302000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  61-66 (+14)  46-51        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+13)  34-39 (-11)  92-97        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.29         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-302000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

253 PM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013 /153 PM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  63-68 (+10)  51-56        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+3)   40-45 (-1)   84-89        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.27         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 26         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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