

514 

FNUS54 KMRX 290754

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.  A STRONGER 

SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   32-37 (+8)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   85-90 (+15)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   32-37 (+7)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    86-91 (+22)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 12         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   36-41 (+11)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  89-94 (+28)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  9         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    38-43 (+12)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+17)  95-100 (+26) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    38-43 (+16)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+21)  95-100 (+24) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   34-39 (+9)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   89-94 (+18)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   37-42 (+10)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  89-94 (+18)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW  8        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

354 AM EDT FRI MAR 29 2013 /254 AM CDT FRI MAR 29 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   39-44 (+8)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+14)  90-95 (+19)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.03         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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