

899 

FNUS54 KMRX 281842

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER COLD NIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...BUT 

DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REBOUND TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES 

OVERALL WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE FRIDAY ACROSS THE 

TENNESSEE VALLEY...AS A RELATIVELY WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES 

ACROSS THE AREA. A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR LATE 

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   51-56 (+9)   33-38        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-6)   29-34 (-13)  77-82        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   50-55 (+9)   33-38        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   28-33 (-11)  77-82        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   50-55 (+6)   35-40        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   28-33 (-1)   83-88        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   55-60 (+3)   40-45        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   29-34 (+5)   86-91        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   55-60 (+3)   39-44        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+9)   27-32 (+5)   90-95        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.08         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   53-58 (+7)   35-40        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   30-35 (-4)   80-85        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           10           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   54-59 (+3)   38-43        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   30-35 (+3)   84-89        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

242 PM EDT THU MAR 28 2013 /142 PM CDT THU MAR 28 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   57-62 (+3)   42-47        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   30-35 (+4)   85-90        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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