

390 

FNUS54 KMRX 270703

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION 

TODAY...PRODUCING SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES ACROSS

SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL 

SNOWFALL EXPECTED. IT WILL REMAIN COLD WITH BELOW NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES TODAY AND THURSDAY. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FRIDAY 

INTO THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   25-30 (+1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  81-86 (-5)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    NW  6        NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   24-29 (+1)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-18)  76-81 (-8)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 NW 11 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    NW  9 G18    NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   22-27 (-2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-25)  80-85 (-6)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  6 G15    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   25-30 (0)    50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-17)  81-86 (-2)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G15                 N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    N  5         NW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 20         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   24-29 (+1)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-18)  81-86 (-5)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    N  5         NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   81 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   26-31 (+1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  80-85 (-5)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        NW  5        NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+6)   25-30 (-1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-17)  82-87 (0)    32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 AM EDT WED MAR 27 2013 /203 AM CDT WED MAR 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   26-31 (0)    54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-23)  77-82 (0)    28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 15         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$















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