

845 

FNUS54 KMRX 261904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION 

TONIGHT PRODUCING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE A 

LITTLE HIGHER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND ALONG 

THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER WHERE OROGRAPHIC LIFT PROVIDES 

ADDITIONAL LIFT. SNOW FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE 

REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. DRIER AIR WILL 

LIMIT SNOWFALL ON WEDNESDAY. THE ONLY SPOTS THAT MAY SEE A SNOW 

SHOWER WILL BE IN HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 

ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA BORDER. IT WILL REMAIN COLD WITH BELOW 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    37-42 (+4)   24-29        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    46-51 (-14)  83-88        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW 10 G18    NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (0)    36-41 (+6)   24-29        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   43-48 (-21)  79-84        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G22                 NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW 12 G21    NW  8 G18    NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    38-43 (+8)   23-28        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   36-41 (-27)  77-82        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW  9 G16    NW  5        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    45-50 (+10)  25-30        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    35-40 (-19)  79-84        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-272015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   45-50 (+10)  24-29        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   31-36 (-21)  81-86        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 10        N  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 20         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    42-47 (+6)   25-30        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   39-44 (-17)  81-86        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    44-49 (+9)   26-31        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   35-40 (-21)  78-83        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013 /204 PM CDT TUE MAR 26 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   47-52 (+10)  27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+7)   32-37 (-21)  76-81        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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