

979 

FNUS54 KMRX 260803

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SNOW 

SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH SNOW 

MIXING WITH RAIN OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS BY THE AFTERNOON. 

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA... 

BUT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGHOUT 

MOST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (0)    25-30 (+1)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   79-84 (-10)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G17                 NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11        NW  9 G16    NW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   24-29 (+1)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   79-84 (-5)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G22                 NW 12 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 11 G21    NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 23        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-270815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   24-29 (0)    38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   78-83 (-6)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G21                 NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW  9 G19    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-270815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    25-30 (0)    45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   76-81 (-9)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G19                 NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    NW  9 G18    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-270815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   24-29 (0)    45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   79-84 (-7)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G21                 NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    NW 10 G18    NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   26-31 (+1)   40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   77-82 (-9)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G18                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    NW  7 G16    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    26-31 (0)    42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   77-82 (-4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  6        NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT TUE MAR 26 2013 /500 AM CDT TUE MAR 26 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    27-32 (0)    45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   75-80 (+2)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G17                 NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    NW  7 G15    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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