

281 

FNUS54 KMRX 251858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL 

GENERATE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SNOW 

SHOWERS MIXED WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL 

CONTINUE OVER THE REGION WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED 

ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER 

ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME 

OF YEAR THROUGHOUT MOST OF THIS WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   33-38 (-1)   22-27        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   58-63 (-2)   83-88        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G17                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     NW  9 G17    NW  9 G16    NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      SNOW         FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.13         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-2)   30-35 (-3)   22-27        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   56-61 (+3)   80-85        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G23                 NW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G29     NW 11 G21    NW 10 G20    NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.14         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     NW 23        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   30-35 (-3)   22-27        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   54-59 (+1)   80-85        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G30     NW 10 G19    NW  9 G20    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      SNOW         FLURRIES     

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.10         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   36-41 (-1)   25-30        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+6)   51-56 (+1)   83-88        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     NW 10 G18    NW  9 G18    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-262000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-5)   35-40 (0)    24-29        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   51-56 (-1)   86-91        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 NW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW 11 G18    NW  9 G18    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW 22        

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   69 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   36-41 (0)    24-29        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+2)   54-59 (+1)   84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G17                  NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW 10        NW  8 G16    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.07         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 17        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   37-42 (0)    25-30        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   49-54 (-4)   79-84        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G22     NW  9        NW  8 G15    NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EDT MON MAR 25 2013 /158 PM CDT MON MAR 25 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   40-45 (+1)   25-30        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   42-47 (-3)   75-80        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     NW 10 G18    NW  7 G15    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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