

007 

FNUS54 KMRX 250813

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL 

GENERATE VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS TODAY. SNOW SHOWERS...MIXED WITH 

RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WILL DEVELOP OVER THE 

REGION...WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE 

AREA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL 

REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGHOUT MOST OF 

THIS WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  27-32 (0)    34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  84-89 (-10)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G26                  NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 13 G24     NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.14         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  26-31 (0)    31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   83-88 (-6)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 18 G34                  NW 13 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 20 G35     W 17 G34     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.15         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 41                      NW 26        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S 

TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-16)  26-31 (0)    30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-9)   83-88 (-3)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 19 G36                  NW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 19 G36     W 15 G32     NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.17         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-19)  27-32 (-2)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-11)  84-89 (+1)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G28                  NW 11 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     W 13 G25     NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-22)  26-31 (-4)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   86-91 (+2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G28                  NW 12 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     W 13 G24     NW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   69 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-12)  27-32 (-2)   36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-9)   84-89 (-4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G30                  NW 11 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G31     W 14 G26     NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.14         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 38                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  28-33 (-1)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-12)  84-89 (-3)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G27                  NW 10        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 11 G22     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT MON MAR 25 2013 /500 AM CDT MON MAR 25 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-17)  29-34 (-1)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  77-82 (+5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G28                  NW 11 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G28     W 11 G21     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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