

427 

FNUS54 KMRX 241913

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COLD 

AIR BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS 

WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT TONIGHT...AND WILL LINGER 

THROUGH TUESDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED 

ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS TEMPERATURES STAY WELL BELOW 

NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   33-38 (-11)  24-29        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 61-66 (-11)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G26                 NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     W 15 G26     W 11 G22     NW 11        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.24         0.18         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   30-35 (-14)  22-27        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 56-61 (-10)  95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G33                  NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G26     W 19 G34     W 15 G29     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.26         0.21         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      NW 26        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-252015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-9)   29-34 (-20)  22-27        33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+8)   55-60 (-9)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 20 G37                  NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G31    W 20 G37     W 15 G33     NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.19         0.20         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-252015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   34-39 (-22)  26-31        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    55-60 (-4)   90-95        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G30                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    W 17 G30     W 13 G26     NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      NW 22        

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-252015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   34-39 (-23)  26-31        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   53-58 (-2)   91-96        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G29                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G23    W 17 G29     W 13 G25     NW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   109 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   35-40 (-13)  26-31        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  53-58 (-14)  88-93        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 17 G31                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     W 18 G31     W 12 G23     NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.17         0.16         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   36-41 (-16)  28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   50-55 (-15)  84-89        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G29                  NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    W 16 G29     W 11 G22     NW 10        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.08         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

313 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013 /213 PM CDT SUN MAR 24 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  38-43 (-18)  28-33        40-45        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-10)  45-50 (-17)  77-82        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 16 G29                  NW 10 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 16 G29     W 11 G22     NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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