

067 

FNUS54 KMRX 241516 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 

DEVELOPING AHEAD OF IT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO 

THE REGION TONIGHT...BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. RAIN 

AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT TONIGHT...AND 

WILL LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE 

EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS TEMPERATURES STAY WELL 

BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-6)   33-38 (-13)  25-30        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 56-61 (-14)  86-91        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G25                  NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G25     W 14 G25     W 11 G19     NW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.12         0.14         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   30-35 (-16)  23-28        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+13)  57-62 (-5)   89-94        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 19 G33                  W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     W 18 G32     W 15 G27     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.11         0.17         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 39                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ072-074-251630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-9)   29-34 (-19)  22-27        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 52-57 (-19)  94-99        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 20 G37                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G34    W 18 G35     W 14 G29     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.10         0.17         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ087-102-251630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  34-39 (-19)  26-31        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   54-59 (-9)   87-92        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 17 G30                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G30    W 16 G30     W 12 G24     NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 36                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-251630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  34-39 (-18)  26-31        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   50-55 (-13)  87-92        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 18 G31                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G25    W 17 G29     W 12 G22     NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-6)   35-40 (-14)  27-32        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 51-56 (-16)  83-88        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 17 G29                  W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G29    W 16 G28     W 12 G22     NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.11         0.15         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   37-42 (-16)  28-33        37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 47-52 (-22)  81-86        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G26                  W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    W 15 G26     W 11 G21     NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.07         0.10         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1116 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013 /1016 AM CDT SUN MAR 24 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-10)  37-42 (-19)  28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   45-50 (-16)  76-81        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 15 G27                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W 15 G26     W 11 G21     NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 35                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...LIGHT WINDS. 



$$













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