

602 

FNUS54 KMRX 240824

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 

DEVELOPING AHEAD OF IT. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO 

THE REGION TONIGHT...BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. RAIN 

AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT TONIGHT...AND 

WILL LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE 

EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AS TEMPERATURES STAY WELL 

BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   28-33 (-6)   33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+14)  92-97 (+16)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G23                 W 15 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G23    S 11 G25     W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.13         0.12         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 31         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   27-32 (-7)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+10)  93-98 (+13)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 16 G29                 W 19 G33     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G28    S 11 G24     W 18 G32     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.12         0.11         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 39         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   27-32 (-9)   29-34        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    94-99 (+12)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 W 20 G37     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW 16 G34    W 18 G35     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.07         0.10         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 38         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   29-34 (-10)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-13)  90-95 (+4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 W 17 G30     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SW 16 G30    W 16 G30     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.04         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 36         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS 

AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   29-34 (-10)  34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-11)  89-94 (+2)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G23                 W 18 G31     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     SW 12 G25    W 17 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 38         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   88 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 

IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   30-35 (-6)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+12)  89-94 (+7)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 11 G22                 W 17 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G21     SW 13 G29    W 16 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.11         0.11         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 35         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND 

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   31-36 (-8)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   86-91 (+4)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 W 15 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     SW 15 G28    W 15 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.06         0.07         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      W 35         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT SUN MAR 24 2013 /500 AM CDT SUN MAR 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+8)   32-37 (-10)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-14)  78-83 (-4)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W 15 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G26     W 17 G30     W 15 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 35         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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