

881 

FNUS54 KMRX 231912

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL 

CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL 

MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY...WITH COOLER AIR 

MOVING IN SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. SNOW 

SHOWERS AFFECT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A 

SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED...AS TEMPERATURES STAY WELL 

BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE MARCH.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   45-50 (-1)   27-32        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   63-68 (+13)  95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G21                 W 16 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    S  9 G21     W 16 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.36         0.24         0.17         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   110 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+7)   46-51 (+1)   26-31        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   59-64 (+7)   95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 15 G29                 W 19 G34     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G21    S 10 G24     W 20 G35     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            8            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.29         0.21         0.20         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   116 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   50-55 (+5)   26-31        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+7)   63-68 (+3)   95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G23                  W 19 G36     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    SW 14 G33    W 20 G36     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          70           70           

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.21         0.13         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 29. WEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   53-58 (+5)   30-35        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+12)  70-75 (+3)   92-97        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G27                  W 16 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     SW 13 G27    W 16 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.17         0.06         0.04         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 31        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   127 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND

ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   51-56 (+1)   28-33        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+12)  75-80 (+10)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G24                 W 16 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 11 G24    W 17 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           50           40           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.15         0.07         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW 35        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               147 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   51-56 (+3)   29-34        36-41        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+6)   59-64 (+10)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G20                 W 18 G32     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     SW 11 G28    W 18 G32     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.30         0.16         0.08         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   126 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+7)   53-58 (+6)   30-35        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   59-64 (-1)   87-92        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 16 G28     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         S  9 G19     SW 14 G27    W 16 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       4            5            3            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.24         0.11         0.06         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 28        

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   126 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

312 PM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013 /212 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+7)   55-60 (+7)   31-36        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+8)   56-61 (-10)  78-83        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G19                  W 16 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         S 10 G24     W 16 G30     W 15 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.78         0.17         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 31        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   133 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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