

782 

FNUS54 KMRX 231524 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL 

SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO 

THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING IN 

SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL 

WARM BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL ON SUNDAY...BEFORE FALLING BACK BELOW 

NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   37-42 (+7)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+14)  85-90 (+9)   69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      S 23         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   36-41 (+7)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+18)  89-94 (+10)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.26         0.29         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      S 25         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   39-44 (+7)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+28)  94-99 (+15)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.63         0.21         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   43-48 (+7)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+30)  95-100 (+17) 59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.83         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   42-47 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+33)  95-100 (+18) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.83         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             5                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   38-43 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+17)  90-95 (+12)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.30         0.30         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 23         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   41-46 (+7)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+27)  89-94 (+10)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  5         SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.54         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS

LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1124 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013 /1024 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   45-50 (+7)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+28)  91-96 (+12)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         E  6         SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.78         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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