

722 

FNUS54 KMRX 230747

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL 

SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO 

THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY...WITH COOLER AIR MOVING IN 

SUNDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL 

WARM BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL ON SUNDAY...BEFORE FALLING BACK BELOW 

NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   37-42 (+7)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+17)  85-90 (+9)   69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      S 23         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. 

WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   36-41 (+7)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+19)  89-94 (+10)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G29    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.26         0.29         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      S 25         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S 

TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 

15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   39-44 (+7)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+28)  94-99 (+15)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S 12 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.63         0.21         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 

NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   43-48 (+7)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+29)  95-100 (+17) 59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S 11 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.83         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 

20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   42-47 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+33)  95-100 (+18) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.83         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             4                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   38-43 (+7)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+20)  90-95 (+12)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.30         0.30         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 23         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S 

TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 

MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+8)   41-46 (+7)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+23)  89-94 (+10)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        E  6         SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.54         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      2200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS 

LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 

HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT SAT MAR 23 2013 /500 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   45-50 (+7)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+24)  91-96 (+12)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  6         SW  9 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.78         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN 

THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$







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