

997 

FNUS54 KMRX 221909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO 

BRING MOISTURE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...WITH LIGHT 

RAIN DEVELOPING BY TONIGHT OVER MOST AREAS. A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL 

THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...BRINGING A 

BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL 

GRADUALLY WARM BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL BY SUNDAY...BEFORE FALLING BACK 

BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+15)  49-54 (+9)   37-42        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+3)   39-44 (+10)  82-87        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.25         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      S 21         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+15)  46-51 (+7)   38-43        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+12)  46-51 (+19)  83-88        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 16 G33    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.29         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-232015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+14)  48-53 (+8)   42-47        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+25)  55-60 (+25)  87-92        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.10         0.49         0.29         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 25        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-232015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+14)  52-57 (+10)  45-50        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+26)  62-67 (+27)  89-94        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G30     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.15         0.74         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-232015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+15)  52-57 (+10)  45-50        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+29) 66-71 (+33)  95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.17         0.81         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+14)  50-55 (+9)   40-45        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+20)  45-50 (+19)  85-90        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.29         0.35         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      S 16         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+13)  50-55 (+8)   42-47        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+25)  53-58 (+24)  87-92        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        E  5         S 10 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.06         0.40         0.31         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013 /209 PM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  51-56 (+7)   45-50        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+22)  59-64 (+23)  87-92        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  6         SW 11 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            5            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.12         0.69         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW 26        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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