

446 

FNUS54 KMRX 221552 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING INCREASING 

MOISTURE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH LIGHT 

RAIN DEVELOPING BY TONIGHT OVER MOST OF THE REGION. A STRONGER 

SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY... 

BRINGING A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS. 

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM BACK CLOSER TO NORMAL BY SUNDAY... 

BEFORE FALLING BACK BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231700-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+13)  30-35 (+16)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-10)  82-87 (+15)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  6         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231700-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+13)  29-34 (+15)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-9)   84-89 (+18)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W  8         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231700-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  32-37 (+14)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   87-92 (+27)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W  9         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231700-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   37-42 (+13)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+13)  87-92 (+24)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231700-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   35-40 (+14)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+9)   95-100 (+30) 63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W  9         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             3                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  31-36 (+14)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-4)   82-87 (+19)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W  6         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231700-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   35-40 (+14)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   85-90 (+24)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS

LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231700-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1152 AM EDT FRI MAR 22 2013 /1052 AM CDT FRI MAR 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   39-44 (+12)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+16)  86-91 (+25)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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