

552 

FNUS54 KMRX 210817

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...NORTHWEST WINDS

THIS AFTERNOON 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH... 



.DISCUSSION...

SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH 

BELOW NORMAL. CLOUDS INCREASE TONIGHT WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION 

SPREADING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES WILL START 

IN THE MORNING BUT CHANGE TO RAIN LATER FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL 

STAY MUCH BELOW NORMAL.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-16)  18-23 (+1)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+4)   68-73 (-7)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G19                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  6        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 14         

DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  17-22 (0)    43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+7)   73-78 (+7)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G22                 W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NW  7 G19    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     W 17         

DISPERSION            119 VERY GOOD             58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  19-24 (+3)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   81-86 (+6)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G21                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    N  5         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     W 14         

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-11)  22-27 (+2)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-1)   92-97 (+14)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W  9         

DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  20-25 (+1)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-4)   95-100 (+14) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G21    LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         FLURRIES     SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     W 12         

DISPERSION            136 VERY GOOD             36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-16)  18-23 (-1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   77-82 (+9)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 10         

DISPERSION            100 GOOD                  41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-14)  23-28 (+3)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (+2)   76-81 (+4)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W  8         

DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

417 AM EDT THU MAR 21 2013 /317 AM CDT THU MAR 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  27-32 (+6)   45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-1)   81-86 (+13)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     W  6         

DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON









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