

624 

FNUS54 KMRX 200831

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY...WITH INCREASING WEST WINDS

THIS AFTERNOON... 



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. COOLER 

TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL EARLY IN THE DAY 

WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A WEAK 

DISTURBANCE IN THE NW UPPER FLOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS 

LATE TODAY...AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT MAINLY IN THE 

HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY THURSDAY BUT 

TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   18-23 (-6)   31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (+3)   66-71 (+8)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G18                 W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G21     NW 11 G20    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   16-21 (-7)   30-35        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-3)   67-72 (+12)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G17                  NW 11 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     NW 13 G23    NW 11 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 26        

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   111 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   15-20 (-10)  33-38        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-3)   70-75 (+15)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G26     NW 13 G26    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   19-24 (-8)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-6)   70-75 (+11)  20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     NW 12 G24    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS

IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   18-23 (-8)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   73-78 (+13)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW 12 G23    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 28        

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   121 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             1                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-4)   19-24 (-6)   34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   67-72 (+4)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5 G16                 W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     NW 11 G20    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   98 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   21-26 (-5)   38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (0)    64-69 (+5)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW 10 G20    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

431 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2013 /331 AM CDT WED MAR 20 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   22-27 (-7)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-5)   61-66 (+2)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW 11 G22    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 21        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   98 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS NEAR 30.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON











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