

123 

FNUS54 KMRX 192009

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY 

AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. COOLER 

TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL. UPPER FLOW 

CONTINUES FROM THE NW AND WEAKENS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SKIES WILL 

BE PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT AND THEN BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY WEDNESDAY 

WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE...AS ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM 

THE NORTH NORTHWEST. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  43-48 (-3)   18-23        32-37        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-27)  23-28 (-7)   62-67        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    W 13 G21     NW 10 G20    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         127 VERY GOOD             92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  41-46 (-3)   16-21        31-36        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-27)  21-26 (-10)  66-71        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G19                  NW 11 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G20    W 12 G21     W 11 G21     NW 11 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW 25        

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   42-47 (-2)   16-21        34-39        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-27)  20-25 (-9)   66-71        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G16                  NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G15     W 12 G21     NW 10 G20    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-10)  49-54 (0)    20-25        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-21)  21-26 (-8)   64-69        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         W 11 G18     NW  9 G17    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 24        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-10)  50-55 (0)    20-25        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-18)  19-24 (-8)   64-69        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         W 11         NW 10 G17    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 28        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   121 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          2                         1            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-10)  46-51 (-3)   19-24        35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-22)  21-26 (-10)  64-69        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     NW 10 G17    NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   48-53 (-2)   21-26        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-28)  21-26 (-8)   61-66        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     NW  9 G19    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

400 PM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013 /300 PM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   52-57 (0)    22-27        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-30)  21-26 (-7)   58-63        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW 10 G18    NW  9 G18    NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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