

311 

FNUS54 KMRX 190928

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY. COOLER 

TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL. UPPER FLOW 

CONTINUES FROM THE NW AND WEAKENS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SKIES WILL 

BE PARTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT AND THEN BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY WEDNESDAY 

WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AS ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE 

NORTH NORTHWEST. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-4)   24-29 (-10)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-42)  70-75 (-18)  19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G22                  W  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W  6 G17     W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 20         

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   24-29 (-10)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-37)  69-74 (-19)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G22                  W  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     NW  8 G21    W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 20         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-201030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   25-30 (-9)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-44)  67-72 (-19)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  6 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     W 16         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

15 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-201030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   27-32 (-10)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-40)  71-76 (-16)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  5         W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     W 15         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-201030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-1)   26-31 (-10)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-36)  76-81 (-11)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  5         W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     W 16         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   67 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   25-30 (-10)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-38)  74-79 (-11)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  W  7 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      W 13 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 16         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-7)   28-33 (-8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-42)  68-73 (-20)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  W  6 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     W 16         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

528 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2013 /428 AM CDT TUE MAR 19 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   30-35 (-7)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-43)  66-71 (-24)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      NW  5 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  5         W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     W 15         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



SON/TD









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