

594 

FNUS54 KMRX 181914

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. 

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE 

FRONT. HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE 

STORMS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   46-51 (-8)   24-29        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  25-30 (-43)  61-66        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W 14 G25     W  6 G15     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

18 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   44-49 (-8)   24-29        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 24-29 (-40)  63-68        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G24                  W  7 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W 15 G28     NW  7 G18    W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   10 AM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

18 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-13)  45-50 (-11)  25-30        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  21-26 (-47)  65-70        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    NW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       6                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  50-55 (-10)  27-32        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  22-27 (-43)  70-75        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    NW  9 G17    N  5         W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-11)  50-55 (-10)  26-31        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 19-24 (-40)  75-80        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW 11 G19    N  5         W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   67 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-9)   49-54 (-9)   26-31        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 23-28 (-43)  64-69        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  W  5 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    W 13 G23     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       6                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-13)  50-55 (-12)  28-33        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  23-28 (-44)  66-71        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       5                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 AM                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 16         

DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013 /214 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-14)  53-58 (-10)  30-35        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   23-28 (-45)  66-71        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    NW  8 G16    N  5         W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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