

032 

FNUS54 KMRX 181448

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY...AND 

THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND 

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT. HEAVY RAIN AND 

STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   36-41 (-4)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-9)   92-97 (-2)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     SW  9 G18    W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.20         0.00         

LAL                   5            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 29        

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   130 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-8)   34-39 (-7)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+7)   95-100 (+12) 24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G23                 NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     SW  9 G19    NW 15 G27    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.19         0.01         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 31        

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   119 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO

10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-191600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   34-39 (-13)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+23)  95-100 (+10) 24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G27                  NW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW 10 G24    NW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.47         0.00         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     NW 26        

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-191600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   37-42 (-12)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+18)  95-100 (+2)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SW  8 G18    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.41         0.00         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 26        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   113 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-191600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   38-43 (-10)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+10)  95-100 (+8)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW  6        NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.84         0.46         0.00         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 28        

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   120 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   37-42 (-7)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+14)  92-97 (+5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 W  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     SW  9 G17    NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.25         0.00         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 26        

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   126 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   37-42 (-12)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+18)  90-95 (-3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    W 10 G18     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.24         0.00         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 39                     NW 25        

DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             126 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1048 AM EDT MON MAR 18 2013 /948 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   38-43 (-13)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+22)  90-95 (-6)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     SW  9 G19    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            4                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.20         0.00         

LAL                   5            2            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     NW 25        

DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             127 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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