

474 

FNUS54 KMRX 171838

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY 

NIGHT...THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   57-62 (+4)   36-41        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  59-64 (-12)  91-96        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 W 10 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     SW  9 G17    NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.30         0.55         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     W 35         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               171 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND

30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-1)   56-61 (-3)   34-39        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   58-63 (+5)   95-100       26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 NW 12 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     SW  8 G17    NW 16 G29    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.27         0.48         0.01         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 36        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   160 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-181945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   58-63 (-3)   34-39        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   64-69 (+17)  95-100       26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G25                  NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 12 G26    SW 11 G21    NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.65         0.50         0.01         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-181945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   62-67 (-5)   37-42        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   64-69 (+22)  95-100       24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    SW  9 G18    NW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.91         0.46         0.01         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 22        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   97 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-181945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   62-67 (-6)   38-43        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  67-72 (+25)  95-100       23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  8 G15    NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.88         0.42         0.01         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 24        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   109 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS

AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   61-66 (-2)   37-42        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   55-60 (+5)   92-97        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     W  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  8 G16    NW 14 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.38         0.53         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 30        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               148 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   64-69 (-1)   37-42        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   54-59 (+9)   90-95        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  NW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    W  9 G17     NW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.78         0.47         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 25        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   131 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

238 PM EDT SUN MAR 17 2013 /138 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   65-70 (-5)   38-43        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   55-60 (+14)  89-94        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G15                  N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  8 G17    NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           90           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            7            5                         

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.92         0.38         0.00         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$













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